GOOG Super Bullish Pattern

5 Responses

    1. Hi SP,

      The main reason is because the target of around 176-177.50 shouldn’t take longer than a week or so if the pattern and play works out. So giving ourselves 2 weeks should be enough time but not so so much time where we have to pay a larger premium for more time than I think we need is the way to go. If I gave myself 1 more week out to the 20th the cost would be about $2.50 compared to the cost of $2. This makes a pretty big difference in Risk v Reward: Risking $2 with a target of $6 give us $4 of profit for $2 risk (2X risk). Where if I pay $2.50 I only get $3.50 of profit for $2.50 risk (Only 1.4X):

      If the target was more like $10-20 higher then I would give myself more time.

      Hope this makes sense.
      Tyson

  1. Tyson:
    I put the trade on at 2.0 and got fill Fri. morning at 1.9,maybe at the open as I was eating at that time. .12 profit so far.
    I did a Fib retracement on this and found 50% ~170.75 and 61.8% `172.6. If it hit only the 50% target of 170.75 what would the option be worth? I realize that this is a time function and late give less, but the reaches in a say or so?

    1. Hi Tarry,

      It does depend on time but if it expires and price is at $170.75 and you own the $170 call then the intrinsic (real) value of the trade would be $.75. Assuming there is no time left in the option (Its at expiration):
      Hope this helps

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